Land Cover Trends Project

Northern Piedmont

By Roger F. Auch 1

Click to see available downloads for this ecoregion

map of Northern Piedmont

Figure 1.  Location map for the Northern Piedmont ecoregion. The underlying land cover is taken from the 1992 National Land Cover Database (Vogelmann and others, 2001). Outlines of the 20 km x 20 km sample sites for the Land Cover Trends project are shown in yellow.

 

Ecoregion Description

 

The Northern Piedmont ecoregion trends northeast to southwest, covering approximately 30,120 km2 (11,629 mi2) in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia, and Virginia (fig. 1).  The ecoregion is a transition zone between topographically flatter coastal areas to the east and more mountainous regions to the west and north. The Northern Piedmont includes the western portions of the New York, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington metropolitan areas. The Northern Piedmont’s landforms include low, rounded hills, irregular plains, and open valleys (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1997).  Soils vary across the ecoregion, ranging from thin, stony types on prominent ridges and low mountains to fertile limestone-derived soils in some plains and valleys. The climate includes moderate winters and warm, humid summers, with more than 1,000 mm (40 in.) of precipitation falling in an average year.  The ecoregion’s population grew (using aggregated county-level data) by nearly 2 million people between 1970 and 2000 to reach 11,434,000, with population density typically decreasing from east to west across the ecoregion (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1973; U.S. Census Bureau, 2003).  Land use varies, ranging from busy urban and suburban areas, to intensely farmed and thickly settled locales, to relatively quiet pastoral places. The dominant land cover classes form a mosaic of agricultural, forest, and developed lands, but the mixture varies, depending on local conditions (figs. 2a, 2b, and 2c).  Agricultural land ranges from intensely cropped cornfields and horticultural nurseries to less intensely used hayfields and pastures. Forest is typically found on land that has marginal utility for contemporary agricultural use, such as steep slopes and poorer quality soils (fig. 3a and 3b). Forested areas often are also used as various public resources (Matlack, 1997; Marsh and Lewis, 1995, p. 27; Morel and Gottmann, 1961, p. 362, p. 371-383). 

 

Contemporary Land Cover Change (1973 to 2000)

 

The Northern Piedmont was a fairly low changing ecoregion from 1973 to 2000, but it placed nearly in the median position when compared with other Eastern ecoregions during the same time period (fig. 4). A total of 6.2 percent of the land area changed from one land cover to another at least once during the 1973 to 2000 study period (table 1). Most of the land cover change (approximately 70 percent) was to new developed land (fig. 5).  The amount of change by time intervals was relatively low and similar over time until the 1992 to 2000 period, which experienced a noticeable increase (table 2).  Normalizing the amount of change to annual rates to avoid unequal time intervals shows the 1992 to 2000 period still to be the most dynamic (fig. 6).  Although rates of change do not appear that high, they correspond to a steady increase of developed land, a near permanent type of change.  The margin of error in our statistical estimates was relatively low, ranging from +/–0.3 percent to +/– 0.55 percent at an 85-percent confidence interval, indicating that land cover change tended to be more or less evenly distributed across the ecoregion (table 2).

The Northern Piedmont’s dominant land covers classified as agriculture, forest, and developed, experienced the greatest amounts of net change across the study period (table 3).  Even though change was comparatively low in the ecoregion, most of the change was new development, and by the end of the study period, this land cover class gained 4.6 percent (fig. 7) and was estimated to occupy more than 27 percent of the ecoregion area (table 3).  This was one of the highest percentages of development found in the Eastern ecoregions.  The Northern Piedmont, along with the Atlantic Coastal Pine Barrens ecoregion to the east and the Northeastern Coastal Zone ecoregion to the northeast, make up most of Gottmann’s (1961) “Megalopolis” region, the Northeast U.S. urbanizing corridor.  The Northern Piedmont’s continued urbanization can be seen in absolute population growth (+19.9 percent), increased occupied housing units (+43.8 percent), and employment gains (+39.5 percent) during the study period (Auch, 2002).  The ecoregion continues its transformation from a once prominent agricultural area to an urban one.  In 1997, the American Farmland Trust declared the Northern Piedmont as the second most “endangered” farming region in the United States (Sorensen et al., 1997) (fig. 8).

The leading land cover conversions are shown in table 4. The ecoregion gained an estimated 1,396 km2 of new developed land between 1973 and 2000, a majority of it from agriculture (865 km2) and a considerable amount from forest (464 km2).  Another 59 km2 of development came from mechanically disturbed land, where the actual land cover conversion (such as the bulldozing or leveling of forest or farmland for new construction) was caught still in progress.  Less significant changes included conversions back and forth between agriculture and forest land (agriculture to forest conversions were more prevalent in earlier time intervals) and forest to mechanically disturbed land (related to timber harvesting, the clearing of forest for development, or a conversion to agriculture) (fig. 9).

The main story of land cover change in the Northern Piedmont ecoregion during our study period was increased urbanization, primarily through unidirectional land cover conversion to developed land uses.  The amount of change was comparatively low but steady over time.  The great majority of this new development came at the expense of agricultural land and, to a lesser extent, forested land.

 

 

References

 

Auch, R.F., 2002, Land use/land cover change in the northern piedmont ecoregion, 1970-2000: Brookings, South Dakota, South Dakota State University, Masters thesis, 211 p.

Gottmann, J., 1961, Megalopolis— the urbanized northeastern seaboard of the United States: New York, The Twentieth Century Fund, 810 p.

Marsh, B., and Lewis, P., 1995, Landforms and human habitat, in Miller, E.W., ed., A geography of Pennsylvania: University Park, Pa., Pennsylvania State University Press, p. 17-43.

Matlack, R.G., 1997, Four centuries of forest clearance and regeneration in the hinterland of a large city: Journal of Biogeography, v. 24, p. 281-295.

Morel, H., and Gottmann, J., 1961, The woodlands, their uses and wildlife, in Gottmann, J., Megalopolis— the urbanized northeastern seaboard of the United States: New York, The Twentieth Century Fund, p. 341-383.

Sorensen, A. A., Greene, R.B., and Russ, K., 1997, Farming on the edge: DeKalb, Ill., American Farmland Trust/Center for Agriculture in the Environment.

U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1973, 1970 Census of population characteristics of the population: Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office, various state parts.

U.S. Census Bureau, 2003, American FactFinder, Basic Facts, economic characteristics- employment, income, poverty, and more; general characteristics- population and housing, accessed May 25, 2006, at http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/BasicFactsServlet?_basicfacts= [Use “basic facts” table option, select the above subjects, select for “county”, then “state” for individual counties.]

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1997, Descriptions of level III ecological regions for the CEC report on ecological regions of North America, accessed April 12, 2006, at http://www.epa.gov/wed/pages/ecoregions/na_eco.htm#Downloads

Vogelmann, J. M., Howard, S.M., Yang, L., Larson, C.R., Wylie, B.K., and Van Driel, N., 2001, Completion of the 1990s National Land Cover Data set for the conterminous United States from Landsat Thematic Mapper data and ancillary data sources: Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, v. 67, p. 650-662.

 

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Table 1.  Percentage of the ecoregion that experienced change

 

[Most of the sample pixels remained unchanged (93.8 percent), whereas 6.2 percent changed at least once through the study period]

 

 

Overall

Number of changes

 

spatial change

1

2

3

4

Percent of ecoregion

6.2

5.6

0.6

0.0

0.0

 

 

 

Table 2.  Estimated amount of change by time interval, 85-percent confidence interval, and normalized annual rates of change

 

 

Period

 

1973-1980

1980-1986

1986-1992

1992-2000

Total change (% of ecoregion)

1.4%

1.5%

1.3%

2.6%

Margin of error (85% confidence level)

+/-0.5%

+/-0.3%

+/-0.3%

+/-0.5%

Average annual rate of change (%/year)

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.3%

 

 

 

Table 3.  Estimated ecoregion land cover classes by percent and area (km2)

 

 

1973

1980

1986

1992

2000

Net change 1973-2000

Land-use/land-cover class

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

Water

457

1.5

460

1.5

460

1.5

465

1.5

465

1.5

8

0.0

Developed

6826

22.7

7100

23.6

7384

24.5

7606

25.3

8222

27.3

1396

4.6

Mechanically disturbed

38

0.1

47

0.2

69

0.2

69

0.2

75

0.2

37

0.1

Mining

83

0.3

89

0.3

102

0.3

112

0.4

119

0.4

36

0.1

Naturally barren

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

Forest

11102

36.9

11059

36.7

10985

36.5

10929

36.3

10656

35.4

-446

-1.5

Grassland/Shrubland

21

0.1

19

0.1

15

0.0

13

0.0

9

0.0

-12

0.0

Agriculture

11365

37.7

11120

36.9

10880

36.1

10702

35.5

10350

34.4

-1015

-3.4

Wetland

228

0.8

226

0.7

225

0.7

225

0.7

224

0.7

-4

0.0

Non-mechanically disturbed

0

0

0

0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

 

 

 


Table 4.  The leading land cover changes by time interval

 

 

 

 

Area changed

% of all

Period

From class

To class

(km2)

changes

1973-1980

Agriculture

Developed

192

46

 

Forest

Developed

79

19

 

Agriculture

Forest

43

10

 

Mechanically disturbed

Forest

27

6

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

20

5

 

Other classes

Other classes

59

14

 

 

 

420

100

 

 

 

 

 

1980-1986

Agriculture

Developed

129

28

 

Forest

Developed

76

17

 

Mechanically disturbed

Forest

37

8

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

35

8

 

Agriculture

Forest

29

6

 

Other classes

Other classes

154

33

 

 

 

460

100

 

 

 

 

 

1986-1992

Agriculture

Developed

186

49

 

Forest

Developed

89

23

 

Agriculture

Forest

54

14

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

39

10

 

Mechanically disturbed

Forest

22

6

 

Other classes

Other classes

-10

-3

 

 

 

380

100

 

 

 

 

 

1992-2000

Agriculture

Developed

359

46

 

Forest

Developed

220

28

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

61

8

 

Mechanically disturbed

Developed

34

4

 

Forest

Agriculture

34

4

 

Other classes

Other classes

81

10

 

 

 

789

100

Overall:

 

 

 

 

1973-2000

Agriculture

Developed

865

42

 

Forest

Developed

464

23

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

156

8

 

Agriculture

Forest

148

7

 

Mechanically disturbed

Forest

108

5

 

Other classes

Other classes

308

15

 

 

 

2,049

100

 

 

 

Refer to caption

 

Figure 1.  Location map for the Northern Piedmont ecoregion. The underlying land cover is taken from the 1992 National Land Cover Database (Vogelmann and others, 2001). Outlines of the 20 km x 20 km sample sites for the Land Cover Trends project are shown in yellow.

 

 

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Figure 2a  (top).  Typical Northern Piedmont farm near Frederick, Md. Photo Thomas Moreland, Jr.  Figure 2b (center) A drive through a forested area of Ecoregion 64 in northern Virginia. Photo Thomas Loveland.  Figure 2c (bottom).  Traffic passing through a commercial area in King of Prussia, Pa., approximately 16 miles northwest of downtown Philadelphia. Photo Roger Auch.

 

 

 

 

 

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Figure 3a  (above).  Corn field on the outskirts of New Holland, Pa. in intensely-cropped Lancaster County. Photo Roger Auch.  Figure 3b (below).  Pasture with a horse fence nestled among the forested hills near Charlottesville, Virginia.  Breeding thoroughbred horses is a long-standing tradition in the Northern Piedmont. Photo Thomas Loveland.

 

 

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Figure 4.  The amount of overall spatial change estimated for the ecoregion and the proportion of the ecoregion that experienced change during one or multiple time periods.

 

 

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Figure 5.  New development along US-322 in southeast Chester County, Pa.  Most of the housing in the background appeared to have been built during the study period. Photo Roger Auch

 

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Figure 6.  The estimates of land cover change per time interval normalized to an annual rate of change.

 

Refer to caption

 

Figure 7.  Estimated net change by land cover class for each time interval and overall study period.

 

 

Refer to caption

 

Figure 8.  An increasingly common scene in Ecoregion 64: the interface between developed and agricultural land uses, in this example in Frederick County, Md. Photo Thomas Moreland, Jr.

 

 

Refer to caption

 

Figure 9.  A young stand of planted pines in Fauquier County, Va. Photo Roger Auch.

 

 

 



[1] SAIC TSSC, work performed under U.S. Geological Survey contract 03CRN001 at USGS Center for EROS

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