Land Cover Trends Project

Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands

By Mark S. Brooks 1

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map of Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion

Figure 1.  Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion showing the location of the sample blocks used in the study.

 

Ecoregion Description

The Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion is located in south-central New York and north-central Pennsylvania and covers approximately 29,900 km2 (11,550 mi2) (fig. 1).  The ecoregion is defined as a “transitional ecoregion between the less irregular, more agricultural and urbanized ecoregions to the north and west and the more mountainous and forested, less populated ecoregions to the south and east” (U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2002).  The landscape is rural with rolling hills and fertile stream valleys.  Forest and agriculture are the dominant land covers in the ecoregion (fig. 2).  The forest consists of northern hardwoods that include sugar maple (Acer saccharum), red maple (Acer rubrum), white ash (Fraxinus americana), American beech (Fagus grandifolia), northern red oak (Quercus rubra), black cherry (Prunus avium), and eastern hemlock (Tsuga canadensis) (Smallidge, 1997).  Dairy and cattle farming, along with the production of corn, wheat, and hay, are the major agricultural activities in this ecoregion (Fick and Cox, 1995) (fig. 3).  The climate is temperate with an average January temperature of –6.1oC (21oF) and an average July temperature of 20.7oC (69oF), with more than 940 mm (37 in) of precipitation annually (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2002).

 

Contemporary Land Cover Change from 1973 to 2000

 

Compared to other ecoregions of the Eastern United States (fig. 4), the overall estimated change between 1973 and 2000 for the Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands was quite low, just 2.5 percent (718 km2 or 227 mi2).  An estimated 1.8 percent (538 km2 or 207 mi2) of total land area changed land cover once, and the area undergoing multiple changes was estimated at just 0.7 percent (209 km2 or 80 mi2) (table 1).

The estimated change per time period varied modestly during the study period (fig. 5).  The first two time intervals, 1972 to 1980 and 1980 to 1986, experienced a change of 0.7 percent.  The third time interval, 1986 to 1992, had the only increase in change from 0.7 percent to 1.0 percent.  Finally, in the last interval, 1992 to 2000, the total change was 0.8 percent.  The margin of error at the 85-percent confidence level was very low during all time periods.  The average annual rate of change for all time intervals was 0.1 percent, with the exception of the 1986 to 1992 time interval, which had a rate of change of 0.2 percent (table 2). 

Land cover in the Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion was extremely stable throughout the 1973 to 2000 study period.  The dominant land covers were forest with 60.1 percent of the land area in 2000, agriculture with 33.9 percent, and developed lands with 3.3 percent of the ecoregion (table 3).

Net change for all land covers, with the exception of agriculture, was modest during the 1973 to 2000 study period.  Agriculture saw the largest net change with a –0.9 percent change during the study period.  Land covers that gained at the expense of agriculture included developed lands with an increase of 0.5 percent and grassland/shrubland with 0.3 percent (fig. 6).

The top two land cover conversions indicate that the ecoregion experienced a decline in agricultural lands during the study period.  An estimated 161 km2 (62 mi2) of agricultural lands converted to forest, and 160 km2 (62 mi2) were converted to grassland/shrubland.  The third leading conversion was 136 km2 (53 mi2) from grassland/shrubland to forest.  The second and third leading conversions were the result of the natural progression of abandoned agricultural lands reverting back to forest.  Leading factors that contribute to the abandonment of agricultural lands are topography, road access, poor drainage, and poor soil (Flinn, Vellend, and Marks, 2005).  The fourth and fifth leading conversions consisted of 124 km2 (48 mi2) of forest being cleared for farmland and 85 km2 (33 mi2) of forest becoming mechanically disturbed because of timber harvesting (table 4).

The Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion was stable throughout the 1973 to 2000 study period.  The loss of agricultural lands was the most significant land cover change.  Farmlands declined in each time interval.  The 1986 to 1992 time interval experienced the greatest amount of agricultural land being abandoned, with an estimated 148 km2 (57 mi2) being converted to forest, grassland/shrubland, or developed land (table 4 and fig. 7).

 

References

 

Fick, Gary W., and Cox, William J., 1995, The agronomy of dairy farming in New York state: Ithaca, N.Y., Cornell University, Department of Soil, Crop and Atmospheric Sciences, SCAS Teaching Series No. T95-1, 8 p.

 

Flinn, Kathryn M., Vellend, Mark, and Marks, P.L., 2005, Environmental causes and consequences of forest clearance and agricultural abandonment in central New York, USA: Journal of Biogeography, v. 32, p. 439–452.

 

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2002, Monthly station normals of temperature, precipitation, and heating and cooling degree days 1971–2000 for New York [revised]: NOAA, available online at http://hurricane.ncdc.noaa.gov/climatenormals/clim81/NYnorm.pdf.

 

Smallidge, Peter, 1997, New York’s forest—then and now: Ithaca, N.Y., Cornell University, New York State College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Department of Natural Resources.

 

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2002, Primary distinguishing characteristics of Level III ecoregions of the continental United States [draft]: EPA, available online at ftp://ftp.epa.gov/wed/ecoregions/us/useco_desc.doc.

 

 

 

 

 

Table 1.  Estimated overall spatial land cover change between 1973 and 2000

 

 

Overall

Number of changes

 

spatial change

1

2

3

4

Percent of ecoregion

2.5

1.8

0.6

0.1

0.0

 

 

 

Table 2.  Estimated change and average annual change (normalized to account for varying time intervals) for each time interval

 

 

Period

 

1973–1980

1980–1986

1986–1992

1992–2000

Total change (% of ecoregion)

0.7%

0.7%

1.0%

0.8%

Margin of error (85% confidence level)

+/–0.3%

+/–0.2%

+/–0.3%

+/–0.3%

Average annual rate of change (%/year)

0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

 

 

 

Table 3.  Estimated percent of land area of individual land cover classes between 1973 and 2000 and calculated estimated net change per time interval

 

 

1973

1980

1986

1992

2000

Net change 1973–2000

Land-use/land-cover class

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

km²

%

Water

264

0.9

267

0.9

269

0.9

271

0.9

273

0.9

9

0.0

Developed

829

2.8

866

2.9

885

3.0

932

3.1

976

3.3

146

0.5

Mechanically disturbed

14

0.0

6

0.0

23

0.1

27

0.1

39

0.1

24

0.1

Mining

29

0.1

34

0.1

40

0.1

44

0.1

47

0.2

18

0.1

Naturally barren

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

1

0.0

1

0.0

1

0.0

Forest

17,973

60.1

17,954

60.0

17,958

60.0

17,958

60.0

17,967

60.1

–6

0.0

Grassland/Shrubland

17

0.1

56

0.2

51

0.2

116

0.4

101

0.3

84

0.3

Agriculture

10,429

34.9

10,373

34.7

10,331

34.5

10,208

34.1

10,154

33.9

–275

–0.9

Wetland

365

1.2

364

1.2

363

1.2

362

1.2

361

1.2

–3

0.0

Non-mechanically disturbed

0

0

0

0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

 

 


Table 4.  Leading land cover conversions for each of the four time intervals and for the entire study period

 

 

 

 

Area changed

% of all

Period

From class

To class

(km2)

changes

1973–1980

Agriculture

Forest

59

27

 

Forest

Agriculture

49

23

 

Agriculture

Grassland/Shrubland

36

17

 

Forest

Developed

24

11

 

Agriculture

Developed

13

6

 

Mechanically disturbed

Agriculture

7

3

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

5

2

 

Other classes

Other classes

22

10

 

 

 

215

100

 

 

 

 

 

1980–1986

Grassland/Shrubland

Forest

41

21

 

Agriculture

Grassland/Shrubland

34

17

 

Forest

Agriculture

33

17

 

Agriculture

Forest

32

16

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

20

10

 

Forest

Developed

11

6

 

Agriculture

Developed

6

3

 

Other classes

Other classes

19

10

 

 

 

196

100

 

 

 

 

 

1986–1992

Agriculture

Grassland/Shrubland

67

23

 

Agriculture

Forest

52

18

 

Agriculture

Developed

29

10

 

Grassland/Shrubland

Forest

29

10

 

Forest

Agriculture

27

9

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

26

9

 

Mechanically disturbed

Grassland/Shrubland

16

5

 

Other classes

Other classes

48

16

 

 

 

294

100

 

 

 

 

 

1992–2000

Grassland/Shrubland

Forest

62

26

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

34

14

 

Agriculture

Grassland/Shrubland

24

10

 

Agriculture

Developed

22

9

 

Mechanically disturbed

Grassland/Shrubland

21

9

 

Forest

Developed

19

8

 

Agriculture

Forest

17

7

 

Other classes

Other classes

39

16

 

 

 

238

100

Overall:

 

 

 

 

1973–2000

Agriculture

Grassland/Shrubland

161

17

 

Agriculture

Forest

160

17

 

Grassland/Shrubland

Forest

136

14

 

Forest

Agriculture

124

13

 

Forest

Mechanically disturbed

85

9

 

Agriculture

Developed

71

8

 

Forest

Developed

69

7

 

Other classes

Other classes

137

14

 

 

 

943

100

 

 

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Figure 1.  Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion showing the location of the sample blocks used in the study.

 

 

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Figure 2.  Typical farm in the Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion.

 

 

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Figure 3.  Cattle grazing in open pasture.

 

 

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Figure 4.  The overall spatial change in all Eastern U.S. ecoregions.  Each bar chart shows the proportion of the ecoregion that experienced change on 1, 2, 3, or 4 dates.

 

 

 

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Figure 5.  Estimates of land cover change per time interval normalized to annual rates of change.

 

 

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Figure 6.  Net change of land cover categories per time period.

 

 

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Figure 7.  Abandoned pastures, such as the one shown above, are a common type of land cover change in the Northern Appalachian Plateau and Uplands ecoregion.

 

 

 

 

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Figure .  Sediment filled Cattaraugus River after a heavy rain.

 

 

 

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Figure .  Effects of declining business activity in Cattaraugus, NY.

 

 

 

 

 

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Figure .  Wheat field with wheat shocks.

 

 

 



[1] U.S. Geological Survey, Eastern Geographic Science Center, Reston, VA 20192

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